Erik Karlsson
Fantasy Hub Player Intelligence

Erik Karlsson

PIT · D · Age 36
GP 4 · G-A-PTS 0-4-4
Limited sample OVERPERFORMING VERY LOW confidence
Expected P/G 0,82 Limited sample · Rank appears after 20 GP
Current trajectory Early season 4 GP · 3Y baseline 0,73
Actual P/G 1,00 Limited sample
Deployment 94 #1 among D on team
Driver 90 #1 among D on team
4 GP current season Process: 20% current Role: 40% current
Team context
Pittsburgh Penguins Balanced environment
Fantasy environment #17 of 32 NHL teams
Team xP/G #17 0,73 top-8 xP/G
Offensive environment Above Average EV OZ #14 · shot diff #11
Power-play environment Strong PP OZ #9
Pace & activity Average #13 NHL · 19,5 bursts/g · 55,5 km/g · 47,7 attempts/g

Balanced environment · above average offensive process · strong power-play environment.

View PIT team context →
Usage & Deployment
Overall usageSeason rate
TOI/G23:00
PP TOI/G3:34
SOG/G2,00
5v5 roleObserved role
D2Defense pair

Erik Karlsson · Declan Carlile

Pair time · last game
8:58
TOI · With this pair · last game
62%
TOI · With this pair · last 3
73%
TOI · With this pair · season
76%
Trend
-4 percentage points ↓-4 pts ↓
Power playObserved PP role
PP1Power-play unit

Sidney Crosby · Erik Karlsson · Rickard Rakell · Tommy Novak · Ben Kindel

PP share · last game
79%
PP share · last 3
66%
PP share · season
68%
First-unit starts · last 3
9 / 10
Trend
-2 percentage points ↓-2 pts ↓
SituationalLast 5
Vs empty net
0% · 0:00
Own goalie pulled
93% · 5:32

Derived from official NHL shift charts + play-by-play · Established · High confidence · 15 recent PP opportunities

Production

2026–27 season

GP
4
G
0
A
4
PTS
4
P/G
1,00
SOG/G
2,00
TOI/G
23:00
PP TOI/G
3:34
Official NHL video

Recent highlights

Goals & assists · last 5 games
Performance

Process vs Deployment

0–100 · F/D percentile · sample-adjusted
Limited sample

The process-versus-Deployment profile is still sample-sensitive.

Process 90
Deployment 94
Offensive Driver High-end · limited sample
90
Shot Creation High-end · limited sample
89
Play Creation High-end · limited sample
84
Deployment High-end · limited sample
94
Median High-end Elite
Trajectory

Early season

Early season
3Y baseline 0,73 Historical P/G
2026–27 1,00 vs baseline +0,27
Expected P/G 0,82 vs baseline +0,09

Current-season production is still below the 20-game threshold; the historical baseline is shown without a strong trajectory call.

Intelligence

Model signals

MODEL

Elite Deployment strongly supports current fantasy value.

Deployment 94 is in the top range of the position group.

MODEL

Elite underlying offensive process supports the profile.

Offensive Driver 90 is in the top range of the position group.

MODEL

Production is running above expectation.

Actual P/G exceeds Expected P/G by 0,18.

MODEL

Sample size limits confidence in the current profile.

The model currently reports VERY LOW confidence.

Current value

The current fantasy profile has both high-end process and high-end Deployment behind it. Expected P/G currently sits at 0,82.

Model details

Performance model
performance_v2_1_4

Scale
transition_ref_v2

Driver vs Deployment
-3,9

Published
2026-10-09 06:29:21