Brock Nelson
Fantasy Hub Player Intelligence

Brock Nelson

COL · C · Age 34
GP 4 · G-A-PTS 1-3-4
Limited sample OVERPERFORMING VERY LOW confidence
Expected P/G 0,76 Limited sample · Rank appears after 20 GP
Current trajectory Early season 4 GP · 3Y baseline 0,78
Actual P/G 1,00 Limited sample
Deployment 78 #5 among F on team
Driver 70 #9 among F on team
4 GP current season Process: 20% current Role: 40% current
Team context
Colorado Avalanche Strong fantasy environment
Fantasy environment #8 of 32 NHL teams
Team xP/G #8 0,81 top-8 xP/G
Offensive environment Above Average EV OZ #16 · shot diff #8
Power-play environment Strong PP OZ #4
Pace & activity Above average #10 NHL · 23,8 bursts/g · 56,4 km/g · 47,4 attempts/g

Strong fantasy environment · above average offensive process · strong power-play environment.

View COL team context →
Usage & Deployment
Overall usageSeason rate
TOI/G18:35
PP TOI/G2:31
SOG/G0,75
5v5 roleObserved role
L35v5 usage band

Brock Nelson · Gabriel Landeskog · Martin Necas

Line time · last game
10:43
TOI · With this line · last game
86%
TOI · With this line · last 3
40%
TOI · With this line · season
32%
Trend
+9 percentage points ↑+9 pts ↑
Power playObserved PP role
PP2Power-play unit

Brock Nelson · Jaden Schwartz · Gabriel Landeskog · Artturi Lehkonen · Devon Toews

PP share · last game
16%
PP share · last 3
24%
PP share · season
27%
First-unit starts · last 3
0 / 8
Trend
-3 percentage points ↓-3 pts ↓
SituationalLast 5
Vs empty net
No team opportunity
Own goalie pulled
No team opportunity

Derived from official NHL shift charts + play-by-play · Established · High confidence · 13 recent PP opportunities

Production

2026–27 season

GP
4
G
1
A
3
PTS
4
P/G
1,00
SOG/G
0,75
TOI/G
18:35
PP TOI/G
2:31
Official NHL video

Recent highlights

Goals & assists · last 5 games
Performance

Process vs Deployment

0–100 · F/D percentile · sample-adjusted
Limited sample

The process-versus-Deployment profile is still sample-sensitive.

Process 70
Deployment 78
Offensive Driver Above average · limited sample
70
Shot Creation Average · limited sample
63
Play Creation Above average · limited sample
71
Deployment Above average · limited sample
78
Median High-end Elite
Trajectory

Early season

Early season
3Y baseline 0,78 Historical P/G
2026–27 1,00 vs baseline +0,22
Expected P/G 0,76 vs baseline −0,02

Current-season production is still below the 20-game threshold; the historical baseline is shown without a strong trajectory call.

Intelligence

Model signals

MODEL

Strong Deployment provides a solid fantasy opportunity base.

Current usage ranks clearly above the position-group median.

MODEL

Production is running above expectation.

Actual P/G exceeds Expected P/G by 0,24.

MODEL

Sample size limits confidence in the current profile.

The model currently reports VERY LOW confidence.

Current value

The current fantasy profile has above-average support from both process and Deployment. Expected P/G currently sits at 0,76.

Model details

Performance model
performance_v2_1_4

Scale
transition_ref_v2

Driver vs Deployment
-7,6

Published
2026-10-09 06:29:21