Nathan MacKinnon
Fantasy Hub Player Intelligence

Nathan MacKinnon

COL · C · Age 31
GP 4 · G-A-PTS 3-5-8
Limited sample STRONG OVERPERFORMANCE VERY LOW confidence
Expected P/G 1,33 Limited sample · Rank appears after 20 GP
Current trajectory Early season 4 GP · 3Y baseline 1,59
Actual P/G 2,00 Limited sample
Deployment 97 #2 among F on team
Driver 100 #2 among F on team
4 GP current season Process: 20% current Role: 40% current
Team context
Colorado Avalanche Strong fantasy environment
Fantasy environment #8 of 32 NHL teams
Team xP/G #8 0,81 top-8 xP/G
Offensive environment Above Average EV OZ #16 · shot diff #8
Power-play environment Strong PP OZ #4
Pace & activity Above average #10 NHL · 23,8 bursts/g · 56,4 km/g · 47,4 attempts/g

Strong fantasy environment · above average offensive process · strong power-play environment.

View COL team context →
Usage & Deployment
Overall usageSeason rate
TOI/G20:51
PP TOI/G3:56
SOG/G3,75
5v5 roleObserved role
L15v5 usage band

Nazem Kadri · Artturi Lehkonen · Nathan MacKinnon

Line time · last game
12:08
TOI · With this line · last game
81%
TOI · With this line · last 3
36%
TOI · With this line · season
28%
Trend
+8 percentage points ↑+8 pts ↑
Power playObserved PP role
PP1Power-play unit

Nazem Kadri · Nathan MacKinnon · Martin Necas · Cale Makar · T.J. Hughes

PP share · last game
60%
PP share · last 3
56%
PP share · season
57%
First-unit starts · last 3
8 / 8
Trend
-1 percentage points ↓-1 pts ↓
SituationalLast 5
Vs empty net
No team opportunity
Own goalie pulled
No team opportunity

Derived from official NHL shift charts + play-by-play · Established · High confidence · 13 recent PP opportunities

Production

2026–27 season

GP
4
G
3
A
5
PTS
8
P/G
2,00
SOG/G
3,75
TOI/G
20:51
PP TOI/G
3:56
Official NHL video

Recent highlights

Goals & assists · last 5 games
Performance

Process vs Deployment

0–100 · F/D percentile · sample-adjusted
Limited sample

The process-versus-Deployment profile is still sample-sensitive.

Process 100
Deployment 97
Offensive Driver Elite · limited sample
100
Shot Creation Elite · limited sample
99
Play Creation Elite · limited sample
98
Deployment Elite · limited sample
97
Median High-end Elite
Trajectory

Early season

Early season
3Y baseline 1,59 Historical P/G
2026–27 2,00 vs baseline +0,41
Expected P/G 1,33 vs baseline −0,26

Current-season production is still below the 20-game threshold; the historical baseline is shown without a strong trajectory call.

Intelligence

Model signals

MODEL

Elite Deployment strongly supports current fantasy value.

Deployment 97 is in the top range of the position group.

MODEL

Elite underlying offensive process supports the profile.

Offensive Driver 100 is in the top range of the position group.

MODEL

Production is running above expectation.

Actual P/G exceeds Expected P/G by 0,67.

MODEL

Sample size limits confidence in the current profile.

The model currently reports VERY LOW confidence.

Current value

The current fantasy profile has both high-end process and high-end Deployment behind it. Expected P/G currently sits at 1,33.

Model details

Performance model
performance_v2_1_4

Scale
transition_ref_v2

Driver vs Deployment
2,9

Published
2026-10-09 06:29:21