Matt Grzelcyk
Fantasy Hub Player Intelligence

Matt Grzelcyk

BUF · D · Age 32
GP 1 · G-A-PTS 0-0-0
Limited sample UNDERPERFORMING VERY LOW confidence
Expected P/G 0,15 Limited sample · Rank appears after 20 GP
Current trajectory Early season 1 GP · 3Y baseline 0,29
Actual P/G 0,00 Limited sample
Deployment 47 #6 among D on team
Driver 34 #7 among D on team
1 GP current season Process: 5% current Role: 10% current
Team context
Buffalo Sabres Balanced environment
Fantasy environment #21 of 32 NHL teams
Team xP/G #21 0,68 top-8 xP/G
Offensive environment Strong EV OZ #7 · shot diff #4
Power-play environment Average PP OZ #15
Pace & activity Average #16 NHL · 24,0 bursts/g · 57,5 km/g · 37,0 attempts/g

Balanced environment · strong offensive process · average power-play environment.

View BUF team context →
Usage & Deployment
Overall usageSeason rate
TOI/G16:43
PP TOI/G0:46
SOG/G0,00
5v5 roleObserved role
D3Defense pair

Matthew Grzelcyk · Zach Metsa

Pair time · last game
8:12
TOI · With this pair · last game
65%
TOI · With this pair · last 3
65%
TOI · With this pair · season
65%
Trend
StableStable
Power playObserved PP role

No stable power-play unit established from available opportunities.

PP share · last game
0%
PP share · last 3
0%
PP share · season
0%
First-unit starts · last 3
0 / 4
Trend
StableStable
SituationalLast 5
Vs empty net
No team opportunity
Own goalie pulled
0% · 0:00

Derived from official NHL shift charts + play-by-play · Observed · Low confidence · 4 recent PP opportunities

Production

2026–27 season

GP
1
G
0
A
0
PTS
0
P/G
0,00
SOG/G
0,00
TOI/G
16:43
PP TOI/G
0:46
Performance

Process vs Deployment

0–100 · F/D percentile · sample-adjusted
Limited sample

The process-versus-Deployment profile is still sample-sensitive.

Process 34
Deployment 47
Offensive Driver Below average · limited sample
34
Shot Creation Low · limited sample
10
Play Creation Above average · limited sample
66
Deployment Average · limited sample
47
Median High-end Elite
Trajectory

Early season

Early season
3Y baseline 0,29 Historical P/G
2026–27 0,00 vs baseline −0,29
Expected P/G 0,15 vs baseline −0,14

Current-season production is still below the 20-game threshold; the historical baseline is shown without a strong trajectory call.

Intelligence

Model signals

MODEL

Production is running below expectation.

Actual P/G trails Expected P/G by 0,15.

MODEL

Sample size limits confidence in the current profile.

The model currently reports VERY LOW confidence.

Current value

The current fantasy profile is mixed. Expected P/G currently sits at 0,15.

Model details

Performance model
performance_v2_1_4

Scale
transition_ref_v2

Driver vs Deployment
-13,5

Published
2026-10-09 10:50:16