Fantasy Hub Player Intelligence
Erik Cernak
GP 4 · G-A-PTS 0-1-1
Limited sample
IN LINE
VERY LOW confidence
Expected P/G
0,23
Limited sample · Rank appears after 20 GP
Current trajectory
Early season
4 GP · 3Y baseline 0,22
Actual P/G
0,25
Limited sample
Deployment
45
#5 among D on team
Driver
69
#6 among D on team
4 GP current season
Process: 20% current
Role: 40% current
Team context
Tampa Bay Lightning
Highest fantasy environment
Highest fantasy environment · strong offensive process · average power-play environment.
View TBL team context →Usage & Deployment
Overall usageSeason rate
TOI/G18:24
PP TOI/G0:03
SOG/G1,75
5v5 roleObserved role
D2Defense pair
Ryan McDonagh · Erik Cernak
Pair time · last game
11:51
TOI · With this pair · last game
75%
TOI · With this pair · last 3
59%
TOI · With this pair · season
63%
Trend
-5 percentage points ↓-5 pts ↓
Power playObserved PP role
PP3Power-play unit
Victor Hedman · Zemgus Girgensons · Erik Cernak · Pontus Holmberg · Ilya Mikheyev
PP share · last game
11%
PP share · last 3
11%
PP share · season
9%
First-unit starts · last 3
0 / 9
Trend
+2 percentage points ↑+2 pts ↑
SituationalLast 5
Vs empty net
46% · 2:03
Own goalie pulled
0% · 0:00
Derived from official NHL shift charts + play-by-play · Persistent · Medium confidence · 16 recent PP opportunities
Production
2026–27 season
GP
4
G
0
A
1
PTS
1
P/G
0,25
SOG/G
1,75
TOI/G
18:24
PP TOI/G
0:03
Official NHL video
Recent highlights
Goals & assists · last 5 games
MIN @ TBL
OKT 8
Performance
Process vs Deployment
0–100 · F/D percentile · sample-adjusted
Limited sample
The process-versus-Deployment profile is still sample-sensitive.
Process
69
Deployment
45
Offensive Driver
Above average · limited sample
69
Shot Creation
Above average · limited sample
69
Play Creation
Above average · limited sample
68
Deployment
Average · limited sample
45
Median
High-end
Elite
Trajectory
Early season
Early season
3Y baseline
0,22
Historical P/G
2026–27
0,25
vs baseline +0,03
Expected P/G
0,23
vs baseline +0,01
Current-season production is still below the 20-game threshold; the historical baseline is shown without a strong trajectory call.
Intelligence
Model signals
Sample size limits confidence in the current profile.
The model currently reports VERY LOW confidence.
Current value
The current fantasy profile is mixed. Expected P/G currently sits at 0,23.
Model details
Performance model
performance_v2_1_4
Scale
transition_ref_v2
Driver vs Deployment
23,2
Published
2026-10-09 06:29:21